Sale R3

14:00Ladbrokes Mega Multi Mdn Plate
1429mMaidenRail: Out 8m Entire Circuit
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Ladbrokes Mega Multi Mdn Platea 1429m maiden at Sale, jumping at 14:00 on ground, rail out 8m entire circuit. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Sale has staged 23 races at 1429m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 12 of 23 (52.2% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 15 of 23 (65.2% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.34).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 13 of 23 (56.5% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.33 (2 from 142).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers 10 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.28 (6 from 37).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.41 (8 from 30).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.13 (7 from 22).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Teodore Nugent × C Maher are 4 from 11 (36.4%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #9 Luminaza here.
  • Together, Thomas Stockdale × M Price & M Kent Jnr are 5 from 26 (19.2%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #2 Flying Gentry here.
  • Jockey Adam Mc Cabe is 2 from 21 at today’s meeting profile (9.5% strike, A/E 1.84) and has #8 Gold Nugget here.
  • Jockey Ruby Lamont is 3 from 28 at today’s meeting profile (10.7% strike, A/E 1.80) and has #1 Don't Doubt Tigga here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1429m · 23 races (23 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)811252.2%14.8%1.15
Middle (5–9)96730.4%7.3%0.67
Wide (10+)52417.4%7.7%0.63

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)661565.2%22.7%1.34
On-pace (4–6)64313%4.7%0.47
Midfield (7–10)70313%4.3%0.41
Backmarkers (11+)1814.3%5.6%1.03
Unknown1114.3%9.1%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)5313%60%0.90
Pop ($2–5)431356.5%30.2%1.04
Mid ($5–10)39521.7%12.8%0.93
Roughie (>$10)14228.7%1.4%0.33

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.