Sale R8

16:30Ladbrokes Odds Surge (Bm62)
1429mBenchmark 62Rail: Out 8m Entire Circuit
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Ladbrokes Odds Surge (Bm62)a 1429m benchmark 62 at Sale, jumping at 16:30 on ground, rail out 8m entire circuit. 16 runners engaged.

At the trip

Sale has staged 23 races at 1429m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 12 of 23 (52.2% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 15 of 23 (65.2% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.34).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 13 of 23 (56.5% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.33 (2 from 142).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers 10 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.28 (6 from 37).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.41 (8 from 30).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.13 (7 from 22).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Caitlin Hollowood: 6 from 25 (24.0%) in the last 30 days — rides #3 Island Boy here.
  • Jockey Jackson Radley: 10 from 53 (18.9%) in the last 30 days — rides #1 Aseventy Seven here.
  • Trainer Jerome Hunter: 8 from 41 (19.5%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Princing here.
  • Trainer G Eurell: 9 from 34 (26.5%) in the last 30 days — saddles #6 Paramount Plus here.
  • Jockey Damien Thornton is 3 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (16.7% strike, A/E 1.28) and has #8 Anglesea here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1429m · 23 races (23 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)811252.2%14.8%1.15
Middle (5–9)96730.4%7.3%0.67
Wide (10+)52417.4%7.7%0.63

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)661565.2%22.7%1.34
On-pace (4–6)64313%4.7%0.47
Midfield (7–10)70313%4.3%0.41
Backmarkers (11+)1814.3%5.6%1.03
Unknown1114.3%9.1%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)5313%60%0.90
Pop ($2–5)431356.5%30.2%1.04
Mid ($5–10)39521.7%12.8%0.93
Roughie (>$10)14228.7%1.4%0.33

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.