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← CarnarvonFriday 10 July 2026

Carnarvon R6

19:16Carnarvon Tyre Service (Bm56+)
1600mBenchMark 56+Rail: True
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Carnarvon Tyre Service (Bm56+) — a 1600m benchmark 56+ at Carnarvon, jumping at 19:16 on — ground, rail true. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Carnarvon has staged 10 races at 1600m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 6 of 10 (60.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 5 of 10 (50.0% win share); Settle position 4–6 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.44 (2 from 29).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 4 of 10 (40.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.52 (1 from 44).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 10 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 0.94 (6 from 41).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 7–10 again on top: A/E 1.07 (3 from 27).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 0.74 (2 from 20).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer Jacquelyn Scott is 7 from 68 at today’s meeting profile (10.3% strike, A/E 1.45) and has #4 Let's Sea, #14 Run Teddy Run here.
  • Jockey Natika Riordan is 9 from 47 at today’s meeting profile (19.1% strike, A/E 1.36) and has #8 Deal Obtained here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 10 races (10 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)40440%10%0.73
Middle (5–9)41660%14.6%0.94
Wide (10+)700%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)30550%16.7%1.05
On-pace (4–6)29220%6.9%0.44
Midfield (7–10)27330%11.1%1.07
Backmarkers (11+)200%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)3330%100%1.72
Pop ($2–5)21440%19%0.70
Mid ($5–10)20220%10%0.74
Roughie (>$10)44110%2.3%0.52

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.