Gatton R3

12:57Ladbrokes Place Extra To 10th (Bm60)
860mBenchmark 60Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Ladbrokes Place Extra To 10th (Bm60)a 860m benchmark 60 at Gatton, jumping at 12:57 on ground, rail true. 15 runners engaged.

At the trip

Gatton has staged 25 races at 860m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 19 of 25 (76.0% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 26).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 19 of 25 (76.0% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 61).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 12 of 25 (48.0% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.37 (2 from 42).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 16 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Middle (5–9) — A/E 1.04 (6 from 56); overall it's Inside (1–4).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.19 (11 from 39).
  • Market: edge tilts to Odds-on (≤$2) — A/E 1.02 (6 from 9); overall it's Pop ($2–5).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Jess Emmerson: 14 from 68 (20.6%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — rides #1 Diamantina Rose here.
  • Jockey Jaden Lloyd: 21 from 124 (16.9%) in the last 90 days — rides #2 Gypsy Tricks here.
  • Trainer R T Hay: 5 from 27 (18.5%) in the last 30 days — saddles #4 Idhana here.
  • Trainer Tony & Maddysen Sears: 13 from 85 (15.3%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — saddles #3 Switch The Stars here.
  • Jockey Frederick Larson is 4 from 26 at today’s meeting profile (15.4% strike, A/E 1.38) and has #11 Mr Evans here.
  • Jockey Brandon Lerena is 6 from 27 at today’s meeting profile (22.2% strike, A/E 1.36) and has #3 Switch The Stars here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
860m · 25 races (25 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)941976%20.2%1.03
Middle (5–9)97624%6.2%0.60
Wide (10+)2600%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)661976%28.8%1.17
On-pace (4–6)65312%4.6%0.45
Midfield (7–10)6100%0%0.00
Unknown25312%12%0.85

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)12728%58.3%0.91
Pop ($2–5)371248%32.4%1.03
Mid ($5–10)4228%4.8%0.37
Roughie (>$10)126416%3.2%0.74

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.