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← GattonFriday 10 July 2026

Gatton R4

13:34Ladbrokes Owners Promotion (Bm65)
1400mBenchmark 65Rail: True
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Ladbrokes Owners Promotion (Bm65) — a 1400m benchmark 65 at Gatton, jumping at 13:34 on — ground, rail true. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Gatton has staged 52 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 24 of 52 (46.2% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 16 of 52 (30.8% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.44 (1 from 32).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 28 of 52 (53.8% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 165 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 35 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.03 (17 from 165).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.03 (9 from 60).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 0.85 (17 from 69).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Jess Emmerson: 14 from 68 (20.6%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — rides #10 Purezza here.
  • Jockey Harrison Shaw: 7 from 33 (21.2%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — rides #2 Cardiologist here.
  • Trainer Krystle Arnold: 7 from 23 (30.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #5 Villandry here.
  • Trainer William Kropp: 13 from 66 (19.7%) in the last 90 days — saddles #11 Scruffy here.
  • Jockey Frederick Larson is 4 from 26 at today’s meeting profile (15.4% strike, A/E 1.38) and has #11 Scruffy here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 52 races (52 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1992140.4%10.6%0.67
Middle (5–9)2372446.2%10.1%0.98
Wide (10+)112713.5%6.2%0.88

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1111630.8%14.4%0.89
On-pace (4–6)1111426.9%12.6%0.89
Midfield (7–10)129611.5%4.7%0.64
Backmarkers (11+)3211.9%3.1%0.44
Unknown1651528.8%9.1%0.80

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)747.7%57.1%1.03
Pop ($2–5)1082853.8%25.9%0.90
Mid ($5–10)1281223.1%9.4%0.70
Roughie (>$10)305815.4%2.6%0.67

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.