Donald R2

13:26Russ Studio Jewellers Mdn Plate
1356mMaidenRail: Out 3m Entire Circuit
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Russ Studio Jewellers Mdn Platea 1356m maiden at Donald, jumping at 13:26 on ground, rail out 3m entire circuit. 16 runners engaged.

At the trip

Donald has staged 18 races at 1356m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 9 of 18 (50.0% win share); Inside (1–4) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.50 (5 from 68).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 10 of 18 (55.6% win share); Settle position 4–6 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.55 (3 from 53).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 11 of 18 (61.1% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 115).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+3m ±1m) covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 3 of the 3 winners (3 from 5 runners, A/E 1.75) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Dean Yendall: 6 from 36 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #10 Vosstaniya here.
  • Trainer Patrick Payne: 38 from 193 (19.7%) in the last 90 days (16 of those in the last 30) — saddles #8 Full Display, #9 Ideas Galore here.
  • Trainer Archie Alexander: 10 from 63 (15.9%) in the last 90 days — saddles #11 Chancellor here.
  • Trainer Andrew Bobbin is 4 from 24 at today’s meeting profile (16.7% strike, A/E 1.61) and has #1 Boulderoo here.
  • Jockey Alana Kelly is 2 from 22 at today’s meeting profile (9.1% strike, A/E 1.28) and has #8 Full Display here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1356m · 18 races (18 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)68527.8%7.4%0.50
Middle (5–9)80950%11.2%1.06
Wide (10+)43422.2%9.3%1.11

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)541055.6%18.5%1.09
On-pace (4–6)53316.7%5.7%0.55
Midfield (7–10)60422.2%6.7%0.64
Backmarkers (11+)2315.6%4.3%0.88
Unknown100%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)4316.7%75%1.19
Pop ($2–5)311161.1%35.5%1.13
Mid ($5–10)41422.2%9.8%0.73
Roughie (>$10)11500%0%0.00

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.