Donald R4

14:36Happy Birthday Darren Browell (Bm56)
2218mBenchmark 56Rail: Out 3m Entire Circuit
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Happy Birthday Darren Browell (Bm56)a 2218m benchmark 56 at Donald, jumping at 14:36 on ground, rail out 3m entire circuit. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Donald has staged 9 races at 2218m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 4 of 9 (44.4% win share); Middle (5–9) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.39 (2 from 42).
  • Pace: Settle position 7–10 wins the most races here — 4 of 9 (44.4% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.27).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 5 of 9 (55.6% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (1 from 45).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Dean Yendall: 6 from 36 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #1 Adjudicate here.
  • Jockey Chelsea Thompson: 9 from 60 (15.0%) in the last 90 days — rides #6 Smokin' Rohie here.
  • Trainer Andrew Bobbin is 4 from 24 at today’s meeting profile (16.7% strike, A/E 1.61) and has #2 Starry Desert here.
  • Jockey Alana Kelly is 2 from 22 at today’s meeting profile (9.1% strike, A/E 1.28) and has #10 Way Up High here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
2218m · 9 races (9 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)34444.4%11.8%0.99
Middle (5–9)42222.2%4.8%0.39
Wide (10+)17333.3%17.6%1.58

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)27222.2%7.4%0.46
On-pace (4–6)27222.2%7.4%0.71
Midfield (7–10)32444.4%12.5%1.27
Backmarkers (11+)7111.1%14.3%1.43

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)21555.6%23.8%0.87
Mid ($5–10)27333.3%11.1%0.86
Roughie (>$10)45111.1%2.2%0.56

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.