Donald Motor Lodge Hcp (56) — a 1628m restricted 56 at Donald, jumping at 15:16 on — ground, rail out 3m entire circuit. 11 runners engaged.
At the trip
Donald has staged 18 races at 1628m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 10 of 18 (55.6% win share); Inside (1–4) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.52 (4 from 64).
- Pace: Settle position 7–10 wins the most races here — 6 of 18 (33.3% win share); the value band has been Settle position 11+ — A/E 2.00 (3 from 28).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 7 of 18 (38.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+3m ±1m) covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Middle (5–9) accounted for 3 of the 3 winners (3 from 9 runners, A/E 1.91) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Caitlin Hollowood: 7 from 27 (25.9%) in the last 30 days — rides #10 Frostration here.
- Jockey Dean Yendall: 6 from 36 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #4 Carnival Riches here.
- Jockey Alana Kelly is 2 from 22 at today’s meeting profile (9.1% strike, A/E 1.28) and has #11 Final Quarter here.