Fannie Bay R1

13:49Arctic Installations Hcp (66)
1300mRestricted 66Rail: True
Races123456

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Arctic Installations Hcp (66)a 1300m restricted 66 at Fannie Bay, jumping at 13:49 on ground, rail true. 7 runners engaged.

At the trip

Fannie Bay has staged 65 races at 1300m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 39 of 65 (60.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: no workable sample in this category.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 29 of 65 (44.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 542 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 63 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.01 (39 from 246).
  • Pace: too little data within this cut to read.
  • Market: edge tilts to Pop ($2–5) — A/E 0.81 (28 from 122); overall it's Odds-on (≤$2).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Dakota-Lee Gillett × Terry Gillett are 5 from 23 (21.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #2 Hebel here.
  • Together, Jarrod Todd × G Clarke are 8 from 42 (19.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #3 Starzam here.
  • Jockey Jason Lyon: 16 from 96 (16.7%) in the last 90 days — rides #6 Your Not The Boss here.
  • Trainer Chloe Baxter: 6 from 37 (16.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #6 Your Not The Boss here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1300m · 65 races (65 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2533960%15.4%0.98
Middle (5–9)2382132.3%8.8%0.64
Wide (10+)5257.7%9.6%0.71

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)100%0%0.00
Unknown54265100%12%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)14812.3%57.1%1.05
Pop ($2–5)1252944.6%23.2%0.81
Mid ($5–10)1802030.8%11.1%0.82
Roughie (>$10)224812.3%3.6%0.68

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.