Fannie Bay R5

16:19Territory Isuzu Hcp (62)
1600mRestricted 62Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Territory Isuzu Hcp (62)a 1600m restricted 62 at Fannie Bay, jumping at 16:19 on ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Fannie Bay has staged 45 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 25 of 45 (55.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: no workable sample in this category.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 28 of 45 (62.2% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.48 (7 from 107).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 374 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 43 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Middle (5–9) — A/E 0.86 (18 from 163); overall it's Inside (1–4).
  • Pace: too little data within this cut to read.
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.03 (27 from 94).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Dakota-Lee Gillett × Terry Gillett are 5 from 23 (21.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #1 Beau Factor here.
  • Together, Jarrod Todd × G Clarke are 8 from 42 (19.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #2 Bollon here.
  • Jockey Lek Maloney: 12 from 60 (20.0%) in the last 90 days — rides #4 Barocco Bar here.
  • Jockey Deborah Barton: 10 from 50 (20.0%) in the last 90 days — rides #12 Danger Man here.
  • Trainer Ms K Petrick: 19 from 126 (15.1%) in the last 90 days — saddles #9 Anphina, #10 Machine Man, #11 Girls Girls Girls here.
  • Trainer K J Lamprecht is 9 from 44 at today’s meeting profile (20.5% strike, A/E 1.33) and has #7 Kieffer here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 45 races (45 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1752555.6%14.3%0.83
Middle (5–9)1711840%10.5%0.81
Wide (10+)3124.4%6.5%0.67

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)312.2%33.3%2.67
Unknown3744497.8%11.8%0.80

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)848.9%50%0.84
Pop ($2–5)992862.2%28.3%1.01
Mid ($5–10)107715.6%6.5%0.48
Roughie (>$10)163613.3%3.7%0.73

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.