Fannie Bay R4

15:42FRM Refrigeration & Air Conditioning Hcp (58)
1000mRestricted 58Rail: True
Races123456

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

FRM Refrigeration & Air Conditioning Hcp (58)a 1000m restricted 58 at Fannie Bay, jumping at 15:42 on ground, rail true. 10 runners engaged.

At the trip

Fannie Bay has staged 25 races at 1000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 16 of 25 (64.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: no workable sample in this category.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 12 of 25 (48.0% win share); the value band has been Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.62 (5 from 54).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 158 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 24 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 0.89 (8 from 58).
  • Pace: too little data within this cut to read.
  • Market: read holds — Roughie (>$10) again on top: A/E 1.72 (5 from 51).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Jarrod Todd: 15 from 78 (19.2%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — rides #6 Red Extreme here.
  • Jockey Jason Lyon: 16 from 96 (16.7%) in the last 90 days — rides #7 Mlinzi here.
  • Trainer G Clarke: 11 from 65 (16.9%) in the last 90 days (6 of those in the last 30) — saddles #8 Starspangledancer here.
  • Trainer Tommy Logan: 5 from 33 (15.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Press Express here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 25 races (25 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)991664%16.2%0.78
Middle (5–9)62936%14.5%0.94
Wide (10+)100%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)400%0%0.00
Unknown15825100%15.8%0.85

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)9624%66.7%1.26
Pop ($2–5)541248%22.2%0.76
Mid ($5–10)4528%4.4%0.31
Roughie (>$10)54520%9.3%1.62

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.