Fannie Bay R6

16:53AUFS Chief Minister's Cup
1600mOpenRail: True
Races123456

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

AUFS Chief Minister's Cupa 1600m open at Fannie Bay, jumping at 16:53 on ground, rail true. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Fannie Bay has staged 45 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 25 of 45 (55.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: no workable sample in this category.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 28 of 45 (62.2% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.48 (7 from 107).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 374 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 43 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Middle (5–9) — A/E 0.86 (18 from 163); overall it's Inside (1–4).
  • Pace: too little data within this cut to read.
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.03 (27 from 94).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Lek Maloney × Ms K Petrick are 9 from 35 (25.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #6 Venting here.
  • Together, Hannah Le Blanc × Tommy Logan are 5 from 22 (22.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #10 Crown Waters here.
  • Jockey Jarrod Todd: 15 from 78 (19.2%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — rides #8 Wolfburn here.
  • Jockey Jason Lyon: 16 from 96 (16.7%) in the last 90 days — rides #1 Casino Seventeen here.
  • Trainer Terry Gillett: 6 from 31 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #11 Dakota Lee here.
  • Trainer G Clarke: 11 from 65 (16.9%) in the last 90 days (6 of those in the last 30) — saddles #8 Wolfburn here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 45 races (45 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1752555.6%14.3%0.83
Middle (5–9)1711840%10.5%0.81
Wide (10+)3124.4%6.5%0.67

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)312.2%33.3%2.67
Unknown3744497.8%11.8%0.80

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)848.9%50%0.84
Pop ($2–5)992862.2%28.3%1.01
Mid ($5–10)107715.6%6.5%0.48
Roughie (>$10)163613.3%3.7%0.73

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.