Rockhampton R1

12:09Great Northern Mdn Hcp
1600mMaidenRail: 0.5 metre Entire Course.
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Great Northern Mdn Hcpa 1600m maiden at Rockhampton, jumping at 12:09 on ground, rail 0.5 metre entire course.. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Rockhampton has staged 29 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 15 of 29 (51.7% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 32).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 4–6 win the most races here — 11 of 29 each (37.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 15 of 29 (51.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Mid ($5–10) accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 5 runners, A/E 3.00) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Aidan Holt: 30 from 139 (21.6%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #2 Ablesheeba here.
  • Jockey Ryan Wiggins: 24 from 143 (16.8%) in the last 90 days — rides #1 Navy Kiss here.
  • Trainer Alisha Taylor: 6 from 22 (27.3%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Navy Kiss here.
  • Trainer J W Healy: 12 from 75 (16.0%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — saddles #2 Ablesheeba here.
  • Trainer Mark Barnham is 2 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (11.1% strike, A/E 1.57) and has #5 Frosty's Gotcha here.
  • Trainer L F Birchley is 5 from 20 at today’s meeting profile (25.0% strike, A/E 1.27) and has #6 Madame Doubtfire here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 29 races (29 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1081448.3%13%0.79
Middle (5–9)1211551.7%12.4%0.96
Wide (10+)3200%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)811137.9%13.6%0.87
On-pace (4–6)811137.9%13.6%0.91
Midfield (7–10)64517.2%7.8%0.71
Backmarkers (11+)1700%0%0.00
Unknown1826.9%11.1%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)426.9%50%0.83
Pop ($2–5)631551.7%23.8%0.81
Mid ($5–10)67827.6%11.9%0.89
Roughie (>$10)127413.8%3.1%0.73

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.