Rockhampton R7

15:49TAB Rockhampton Cup
1600mOpenRail: 0.5 metre Entire Course.
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

TAB Rockhampton Cupa 1600m open at Rockhampton, jumping at 15:49 on ground, rail 0.5 metre entire course.. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Rockhampton has staged 29 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 15 of 29 (51.7% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 32).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 4–6 win the most races here — 11 of 29 each (37.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 15 of 29 (51.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Mid ($5–10) accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 5 runners, A/E 3.00) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Adam Sewell × Lachie Manzelmann are 10 from 34 (29.4%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #9 Our Missile here.
  • Jockey Nikki Olzard: 27 from 114 (23.7%) in the last 90 days (13 of those in the last 30) — rides #12 Journalism here.
  • Jockey Aidan Holt: 30 from 139 (21.6%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #4 Zoology here.
  • Trainer Alisha Taylor: 6 from 22 (27.3%) in the last 90 days — saddles #11 Pepperdine here.
  • Trainer R T Hay: 5 from 28 (17.9%) in the last 30 days — saddles #3 Give Me Space here.
  • Jockey Jason Taylor is 5 from 33 at today’s meeting profile (15.2% strike, A/E 1.62) and has #8 Matawai here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 29 races (29 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1081448.3%13%0.79
Middle (5–9)1211551.7%12.4%0.96
Wide (10+)3200%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)811137.9%13.6%0.87
On-pace (4–6)811137.9%13.6%0.91
Midfield (7–10)64517.2%7.8%0.71
Backmarkers (11+)1700%0%0.00
Unknown1826.9%11.1%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)426.9%50%0.83
Pop ($2–5)631551.7%23.8%0.81
Mid ($5–10)67827.6%11.9%0.89
Roughie (>$10)127413.8%3.1%0.73

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.