Rockhampton R6

15:09Magic Millions Capricorn Guineas Hcp
1500mOpenRail: 0.5 metre Entire Course.
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Magic Millions Capricorn Guineas Hcpa 1500m open at Rockhampton, jumping at 15:09 on ground, rail 0.5 metre entire course.. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Rockhampton has staged 8 races at 1500m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 5 of 8 (62.5% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 5 of 8 (62.5% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.28).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 5 of 8 (62.5% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 12 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Adam Sewell × Lachie Manzelmann are 10 from 34 (29.4%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #10 Exodas here.
  • Jockey Warwick Satherley: 14 from 91 (15.4%) in the last 90 days (6 of those in the last 30) — rides #5 Next Legacy here.
  • Trainer G K Taylor: 7 from 25 (28.0%) in the last 90 days — saddles #11 Scialla here.
  • Trainer Clinton Taylor: 13 from 67 (19.4%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — saddles #7 Heart 'n' Power here.
  • Jockey Jason Taylor is 5 from 33 at today’s meeting profile (15.2% strike, A/E 1.62) and has #9 Heroic Talent here.
  • Trainer L F Birchley is 5 from 20 at today’s meeting profile (25.0% strike, A/E 1.27) and has #3 Aliquam here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1500m · 8 races (8 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)31562.5%16.1%1.01
Middle (5–9)32337.5%9.4%0.77
Wide (10+)800%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)21562.5%23.8%1.28
On-pace (4–6)21225%9.5%0.60
Midfield (7–10)1400%0%0.00
Backmarkers (11+)300%0%0.00
Unknown12112.5%8.3%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)200%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)14562.5%35.7%1.22
Mid ($5–10)21225%9.5%0.69
Roughie (>$10)34112.5%2.9%0.65

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.