Rockhampton R3

13:19Acciona-Fulton Hogan Hcp (C3)
1400mClass 3Rail: 0.5 metre Entire Course.
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Acciona-Fulton Hogan Hcp (C3)a 1400m class 3 at Rockhampton, jumping at 13:19 on ground, rail 0.5 metre entire course.. 8 runners engaged.

At the trip

Rockhampton has staged 45 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 24 of 45 (53.3% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.48 (2 from 52).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 18 of 45 (40.0% win share); Settle position 4–6 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.59 (10 from 115).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 25 of 45 (55.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 2 of the 3 winners (2 from 4 runners, A/E 1.73) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Nikki Olzard: 27 from 114 (23.7%) in the last 90 days (13 of those in the last 30) — rides #6 Settat here.
  • Jockey Warwick Satherley: 14 from 91 (15.4%) in the last 90 days (6 of those in the last 30) — rides #8 General Wolffe here.
  • Trainer R T Hay: 5 from 28 (17.9%) in the last 30 days — saddles #4 Bitoftheblarney here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 45 races (45 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1701942.2%11.2%0.71
Middle (5–9)1792453.3%13.4%1.01
Wide (10+)5224.4%3.8%0.48

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1171840%15.4%0.88
On-pace (4–6)1151022.2%8.7%0.59
Midfield (7–10)971022.2%10.3%1.07
Backmarkers (11+)1612.2%6.2%1.13
Unknown56613.3%10.7%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)936.7%33.3%0.58
Pop ($2–5)952555.6%26.3%0.89
Mid ($5–10)92817.8%8.7%0.63
Roughie (>$10)205920%4.4%1.03

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.