Rockhampton R5

14:29Greensteel Claude Green Memorial Hcp (C1)
1200mClass 1Rail: 0.5 metre Entire Course.
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Greensteel Claude Green Memorial Hcp (C1)a 1200m class 1 at Rockhampton, jumping at 14:29 on ground, rail 0.5 metre entire course.. 8 runners engaged.

At the trip

Rockhampton has staged 53 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 28 of 53 (52.8% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.16 (1 from 72).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 31 of 53 (58.5% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.24).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 28 of 53 (52.8% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Inside (1–4) accounted for 2 of the 3 winners (2 from 12 runners, A/E 0.96) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Aidan Holt: 30 from 139 (21.6%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #1 Ritualize here.
  • Trainer R T Hay: 5 from 28 (17.9%) in the last 30 days — saddles #3 Dialidae here.
  • Trainer Ms G Bell: 16 from 107 (15.0%) in the last 90 days — saddles #7 Speed King here.
  • Jockey Jason Taylor is 5 from 33 at today’s meeting profile (15.2% strike, A/E 1.62) and has #4 El Centro here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 53 races (53 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2042852.8%13.7%0.89
Middle (5–9)2102445.3%11.4%0.90
Wide (10+)7211.9%1.4%0.16

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1433158.5%21.7%1.24
On-pace (4–6)1391222.6%8.6%0.60
Midfield (7–10)12359.4%4.1%0.48
Backmarkers (11+)3500%0%0.00
Unknown4659.4%10.9%0.77

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)19713.2%36.8%0.62
Pop ($2–5)1012852.8%27.7%0.96
Mid ($5–10)1031120.8%10.7%0.79
Roughie (>$10)263713.2%2.7%0.68

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.