Super Liquor Greerton Hcp (60) — a 1200m restricted 60 at Tauranga, jumping at 13:20 on — ground, rail out 10m. 6 runners engaged.
At the trip
Tauranga has staged 29 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 14 of 29 (48.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 6 of 29 (20.7% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.70).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 12 of 29 (41.4% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.52 (4 from 154).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 205 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+10m ±1m) covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: nothing in that limited data stands out; the overall numbers above carry the read.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Craig Grylls: 23 from 122 (18.9%) in the last 90 days (6 of those in the last 30) — rides #2 Catoca here.