Nutrien Harcourts Mdn Plate — a 1200m maiden at Mt Isa, jumping at 12:35 on — ground, rail true. 9 runners engaged.
At the trip
Mt Isa has staged 13 races at 1200m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 9 of 13 (69.2% win share); Inside (1–4) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.45 (3 from 48).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 6 of 13 (46.2% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.47 (1 from 22).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 5 of 13 (38.5% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.35 (1 from 50).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 18 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 13 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: edge tilts to Wide (10+) — A/E 1.96 (1 from 8); overall it's Middle (5–9).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.00 (6 from 33).
- Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 0.96 (5 from 19).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Jess Emmerson: 17 from 73 (23.3%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — rides #6 Instigate here.
- Jockey Mitch Goring: 20 from 82 (24.4%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — rides #1 Are Ya There here.