Mt Isa R6

15:42CNW Electrical Supplies (Bm50)
1200mBenchmark 50Rail: True
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 12 July 18:17 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

CNW Electrical Supplies (Bm50)a 1200m benchmark 50 at Mt Isa, jumping at 15:42 on ground, rail true. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Mt Isa has staged 13 races at 1200m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 9 of 13 (69.2% win share); Inside (1–4) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.45 (3 from 48).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 6 of 13 (46.2% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.47 (1 from 22).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 5 of 13 (38.5% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.35 (1 from 50).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 18 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 13 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Wide (10+) — A/E 1.96 (1 from 8); overall it's Middle (5–9).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.00 (6 from 33).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 0.96 (5 from 19).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Jess Emmerson: 17 from 73 (23.3%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — rides #4 Xingxing here.
  • Jockey Mitch Goring: 20 from 82 (24.4%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — rides #1 Viking Valour here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 13 races (13 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)48323.1%6.2%0.45
Middle (5–9)50969.2%18%1.03
Wide (10+)817.7%12.5%1.96

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)33646.2%18.2%1.00
On-pace (4–6)33430.8%12.1%0.75
Midfield (7–10)2217.7%4.5%0.47
Unknown18215.4%11.1%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)6323.1%50%0.86
Pop ($2–5)19538.5%26.3%0.96
Mid ($5–10)31430.8%12.9%0.91
Roughie (>$10)5017.7%2%0.35

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.