Nutrien Harcourts Hcp (C3) — a 1000m class 3 at Mt Isa, jumping at 15:07 on — ground, rail true. 8 runners engaged.
At the trip
Mt Isa has staged 7 races at 1000m in our sample — too small to base a decision on.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 5 of 7 (71.4% win share); Inside (1–4) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.58 (2 from 23).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 4 of 7 (57.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 3 of 7 (42.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 14 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers only 7 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Middle (5–9) accounted for 5 of the 7 winners (5 from 21 runners, A/E 1.09) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Jess Emmerson: 17 from 73 (23.3%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — rides #9 Whiskey River here.
- Jockey Mitch Goring: 20 from 82 (24.4%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — rides #1 Bigcat here.