Mt Isa R2

13:13Sportsbet Hcp (C1)
900mClass 1Rail: True
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 12 July 18:17 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Sportsbet Hcp (C1)a 900m class 1 at Mt Isa, jumping at 13:13 on ground, rail true. 8 runners engaged.

At the trip

Mt Isa has staged 3 races at 900m in our sample — too small to base a decision on.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 2 of 3 (66.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: no workable sample in this category.
  • Market: no workable sample in this category.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 8 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Settle position 1–3 accounted for 2 of the 3 winners (2 from 6 runners, A/E 1.48) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Jess Emmerson: 17 from 73 (23.3%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — rides #8 Outcast Soldier here.
  • Jockey Mitch Goring: 20 from 82 (24.4%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — rides #2 Groove Jet here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
900m · 3 races (3 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)11266.7%18.2%1.28
Middle (5–9)11133.3%9.1%0.55
Wide (10+)100%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)6266.7%33.3%1.48
On-pace (4–6)600%0%0.00
Midfield (7–10)300%0%0.00
Unknown8133.3%12.5%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)200%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)4266.7%50%1.39
Mid ($5–10)2133.3%50%3.41
Roughie (>$10)1500%0%0.00

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.