HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← MuswellbrookTuesday 7 July 2026

Muswellbrook R1

12:25Coolmore Cup 5 October Hcp
1000mOpenRail: 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.73top 3
Ranked 1st
3. Write Me A Letter
Rory Hutchings (4)
Ranked 2nd
1. Sambuca Sky
Jean Van Overmeire (3)
Ranked 3rd
2. Half Pipe
Braith Nock (2)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
No data3
no recent settle
6 Crimson Fury(5)
9 Western Bloom(7)
5 Cheeky Artist(8)
Backmarkers0
settle 11+
—
Midfield1
settle 7–10
2 Half Pipe(2)
On-pace2
settle 3–6
8 Perla Iberica(1)
4 Arrest Warrant(8)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
1 Sambuca Sky(3)
3 Write Me A Letter(4)
7 Cyclone Jaz(6)

Historical overview

Across the 45 sampled runnings of 1000m at Muswellbrook: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 18 of 45 winners (40.0% of winners, 15.8% strike, 0.87 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 20 of 45 winners (44.4% of winners, 10.9% strike, 0.76 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 11 from 18 (61.1% strike, 1.02 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 4.4% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).