HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← MuswellbrookTuesday 7 July 2026

Muswellbrook R2

13:00Horsepower Country Boosted Mdn Plate
1280mMaidenRail: 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies
StatisticsRace Analysis
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.44top 3
Ranked 1st
7. Valedor
Aaron Bullock (1)
Ranked 2nd
3. Magic Merlin
Mitchell Bell (5)
Ranked 3rd
6. Tarrant County
Clayton Gallagher (4)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
No data1
no recent settle
7 Valedor(1)
Backmarkers0
settle 11+
—
Midfield5
settle 7–10
2 Giddy Up Griff(2)
6 Tarrant County(4)
3 Magic Merlin(5)
8 Churpel(7)
1 Black Dynasty(8)
On-pace2
settle 3–6
4 Nulkaba Star(3)
9 Sparkle Socks(6)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
5 Share Our Secret(9)

Historical overview

Across the 49 sampled runnings of 1280m at Muswellbrook: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 18 of 49 winners (36.7% of winners, 13.7% strike, 0.83 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 23 of 49 winners (46.9% of winners, 12.5% strike, 0.88 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 9 from 16 (56.2% strike, 0.93 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 14.3% of winners.

Historical leans

  • On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).