HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← MuswellbrookTuesday 7 July 2026

Muswellbrook R8

16:35Bengalla Cup Sun 26 July (Bm66)
1280mBenchmark 66Rail: 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.32top 3
Ranked 1st
1. Condone
Aaron Bullock (10)
Ranked 2nd
11. Wootten It Be Nice
Mitchell Bell (4)
Ranked 3rd
5. Broadway Follies
(4)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
7 Turbulent(1)
14 Prorata(7)
Midfield5
settle 7–10
9 Ivy Diva(3)
5 Broadway Follies(4)
13 Executive Decision(5)
4 A Boy Named Soo(6)
2 Invasive Dreams(11)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
10 Silent Serenade(2)
11 Wootten It Be Nice(4)
3 Xtra Approval(8)
6 Reflecting Fame(9)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
1 Condone(10)
12 Shoutaboutit(11)

Historical overview

Across the 49 sampled runnings of 1280m at Muswellbrook: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 18 of 49 winners (36.7% of winners, 13.7% strike, 0.83 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 23 of 49 winners (46.9% of winners, 12.5% strike, 0.88 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 9 from 16 (56.2% strike, 0.93 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 14.3% of winners.

Historical leans

  • On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).