HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← MuswellbrookTuesday 7 July 2026

Muswellbrook R4

14:10Big Dance Day @ MRC 3 Nov Mdn Hcp
1450mMaidenRail: 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies
StatisticsRace Analysis
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.23top 3
Ranked 1st
4. Kowloon Magnate
Mitchell Bell (1)
Ranked 2nd
5. Strasbelle
Olivia Dalton (9)
Ranked 3rd
8. Gemtiki
Reece Jones (3)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
9 Krystina Kerima(4)
2 Fastest Choice(8)
Midfield4
settle 7–10
10 Linda's Princess(2)
8 Gemtiki(3)
3 Been There(10)
11 Red Deer(11)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
12 Supido Secret(5)
7 Flying Giselle(7)
5 Strasbelle(9)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
4 Kowloon Magnate(1)
6 What A Gent(6)

Historical overview

Across the 20 sampled runnings of 1450m at Muswellbrook: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 10 of 20 winners (50.0% of winners, 17.5% strike, 1.2 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 13 of 20 winners (65.0% of winners, 17.3% strike, 1.08 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 4 (50.0% strike, 0.86 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 10.0% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).