Muswellbrook

TurfRail: 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies—12:25–16:35

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Muswellbrook in NSW hosts a country meeting on Turf. The rail is 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies. There are 8 races scheduled from 12:25 to 16:35.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,750m across the card. The class mix is 3 maidens, 2 benchmark races, and 3 other races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Coolmore Cup 5 October Hcp.

What history says

Over 149 races from 2025-05-02 to 2026-06-12, market (sp) flags roughie (>$10) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.57 A/E, 2.3% strike rate).

Jockey Aaron Bullock has 5 runners and a 27.8% local strike rate from 72 runs (1.04 A/E) and Trainer Brett & Georgie Cavanough has 2 runners and a 23.2% local strike rate from 56 runs (1.04 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Muswellbrook

149 races · 1387 runners · since 2025-05-02

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TCarlos Antonio2 todayA/E 1.89JMikayla Weir3 todayA/E 1.64TJoel Wilkes2 todayA/E 1.37JKody Nestor2 todayA/E 1.11JGrant Buckley3 todayA/E 1.07JAaron Bullock5 todayA/E 1.04JJacob Stiff7 todayA/E 1.04TBrett & Georgie Cavanough2 todayA/E 1.04TW T Wilkes3 todayA/E 1.04TM D Griffith3 todayA/E 1.04

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	563	74	49.7%	13.1%	0.91
Middle (5–9)	616	59	39.6%	9.6%	0.74
Wide (10+)	208	16	10.7%	7.7%	0.81

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	396	58	38.9%	14.6%	0.92
On-pace (4–6)	387	48	32.2%	12.4%	0.79
Midfield (7–10)	350	23	15.4%	6.6%	0.73
Backmarkers (11+)	73	3	2%	4.1%	0.65
Unknown	181	17	11.4%	9.4%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	50	31	20.8%	62%	1.01
Pop ($2–5)	273	72	48.3%	26.4%	0.91
Mid ($5–10)	290	28	18.8%	9.7%	0.72
Roughie (>$10)	774	18	12.1%	2.3%	0.57

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.