HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← MuswellbrookTuesday 7 July 2026

Muswellbrook R6

15:20TAB Plate (C1)
1750mClass 1Rail: 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.29top 3
Ranked 1st
9. Aurora Effect
(12)
Ranked 2nd
12. Sirius Moss
Reece Jones (8)
Ranked 3rd
10. Elite Delight
Jenny Duggan (5)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers1
settle 11+
11 Rock'n On Uptown(1)
Midfield6
settle 7–10
5 Dark Justice(4)
10 Elite Delight(5)
13 Annanda(6)
14 Gemtiki(9)
9 Aurora Effect(12)
3 Boncapo(13)
On-pace6
settle 3–6
6 Grande Diablo(2)
7 Exorbitant Miss(3)
4 Bridego(7)
12 Sirius Moss(8)
2 Northern Exposure(10)
1 Dunwithya(11)
Leaders0
pushing for the lead
—

Historical overview

Across the 8 sampled runnings of 1750m at Muswellbrook: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 4 of 8 winners (50.0% of winners, 19.0% strike, 0.93 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 4 of 8 winners (50.0% of winners, 13.8% strike, 0.89 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 4 from 5 (80.0% strike, 1.2 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 12.5% of winners.

Historical leans

  • On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).