Saturday 4 July 2026VICEarly preview · published 3 July 14:10 AEST — updated race morning

Flemington

TurfRail: True Entire Circuit11:5516:40
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:10 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Flemington in VIC hosts a metro meeting on Turf. The rail is True Entire Circuit. There are 9 races scheduled from 11:55 to 16:40.

The card

Distances run from 1,200m to 2,600m across the card. The class mix is 9 other races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is VRC-CRV Winter Championship Series Final.

What history says

Over 222 races from 2025-05-17 to 2026-06-20, market (sp) flags odds-on (≤$2) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.66 A/E, 37.5% strike rate).

Trainer D T O'Brien has 2 runners and a 17.9% local strike rate from 67 runs (1.32 A/E) and Jockey Billy Egan has 4 runners and a 20.0% local strike rate from 35 runs (2.05 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Flemington

222 races · 2526 runners · since 2025-05-17

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TClayton Douglas2 todayA/E 2.54JBilly Egan4 todayA/E 2.05JFred W Kersley2 todayA/E 1.88JJett Stanley5 todayA/E 1.77THenry Dwyer2 todayA/E 1.54JJabez Johnstone2 todayA/E 1.51TD T O'Brien2 todayA/E 1.32TL & T Corstens & W Larkin2 todayA/E 1.32JDean Yendall6 todayA/E 1.28TSymon Wilde2 todayA/E 1.24JTeodore Nugent3 todayA/E 1.21

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)8687332.7%8.4%0.78
Middle (5–9)10129542.6%9.4%0.86
Wide (10+)6465524.7%8.5%0.91

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)6607131.8%10.8%0.84
On-pace (4–6)6586227.8%9.4%0.82
Midfield (7–10)7636428.7%8.4%0.89
Backmarkers (11+)4172410.8%5.8%0.80
Unknown2820.9%7.1%0.75

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)32125.4%37.5%0.66
Pop ($2–5)40411451.1%28.2%1.02
Mid ($5–10)5264721.1%8.9%0.67
Roughie (>$10)15635022.4%3.2%0.77

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.