HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← FlemingtonSaturday 4 July 2026

Flemington R3

13:05Shore Goggles Leilani Series Final
1400mOpenRail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.94top 3
Ranked 1st
4. Duchess Zou
Jabez Johnstone (4)
Ranked 2nd
6. Stylish
Ben Allen (10)
Ranked 3rd
5. Miss Aria
Craig Williams (8)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers0
settle 11+
—
Midfield4
settle 7–10
7 Enna's Dream(3)
10 Silent Shares(6)
5 Miss Aria(8)
6 Stylish(10)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
1 Fancify(1)
9 Barbie'sdreamworld(5)
2 Lady Jones(7)
3 Grid Girl(9)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
8 Time Bandit(2)
4 Duchess Zou(4)

Historical overview

Across the 47 sampled runnings of 1400m at Flemington: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 17 of 47 winners (36.2% of winners, 12.3% strike, 0.94 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 22 of 47 winners (46.8% of winners, 10.2% strike, 0.86 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1400m · True, 15 races): Midfield (settle 7–10) — 5 of 15 winners (33.3% of winners, 9.3% strike, 1.15 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 5 from 9 (55.6% strike, 0.93 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 19.1% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 47 races (47 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1851327.7%7%0.66
Middle (5–9)2152246.8%10.2%0.86
Wide (10+)1161225.5%10.3%1.08

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1381736.2%12.3%0.94
On-pace (4–6)1371327.7%9.5%0.75
Midfield (7–10)1631225.5%7.4%0.81
Backmarkers (11+)6648.5%6.1%0.86
Unknown1212.1%8.3%0.69

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)9510.6%55.6%0.93
Pop ($2–5)792451.1%30.4%1.07
Mid ($5–10)116919.1%7.8%0.58
Roughie (>$10)312919.1%2.9%0.69