Flemington R2

12:30Taj Rossi Series Final

1600mListedRail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9Track

Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final

Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.61top 3

Ranked 1st

2. Marwooba

Craig Williams (2)

Ranked 2nd

1. Fontein Jewel

Lachlan King (1)

Ranked 3rd

3. Star Of Macedon

Dylan Dunn (7)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers0

settle 11+

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Midfield3

settle 7–10

1Fontein Jewel(1)

7Achy Breaky Heart(3)

3Star Of Macedon(7)

On-pace5

settle 3–6

2Marwooba(2)

4Ko Phangan(4)

5From Yesterday(5)

8Stunning Kitty(6)

6Frankel's Word(8)

Leaders0

pushing for the lead

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Historical overview

Across the 36 sampled runnings of 1600m at Flemington: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 14 of 36 winners (37.8% of winners, 13.0% strike, 0.79 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 22 of 36 winners (59.5% of winners, 13.8% strike, 1.25 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 6 (33.3% strike, 0.6 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 10.8% of winners.

Historical leans

Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance

1600m · 36 races (37 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	142	11	29.7%	7.7%	0.62
Middle (5–9)	160	22	59.5%	13.8%	1.25
Wide (10+)	73	4	10.8%	5.5%	0.52

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	108	14	37.8%	13%	0.79
On-pace (4–6)	108	10	27%	9.3%	0.96
Midfield (7–10)	121	10	27%	8.3%	0.85
Backmarkers (11+)	38	3	8.1%	7.9%	0.97

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	6	2	5.4%	33.3%	0.60
Pop ($2–5)	73	19	51.4%	26%	0.99
Mid ($5–10)	80	12	32.4%	15%	1.07
Roughie (>$10)	216	4	10.8%	1.9%	0.43