Flemington R8

16:10A.R. Creswick Stakes

1200mListedRail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9Track

Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final

Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.04top 3

Ranked 1st

2. Wise Inlaw

Luke Cartwright (1)

Ranked 2nd

11. Afterberna

Jabez Johnstone (3)

Ranked 3rd

12. Barari

Harry Coffey (6)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers1

settle 11+

5Blethyn(11)

Midfield7

settle 7–10

12Barari(6)

9Ludlum(7)

10Tatakai Uta(8)

7Falset Star(9)

6Blankfield(10)

14Amping Lass(12)

3Recuperato(14)

On-pace3

settle 3–6

2Wise Inlaw(1)

8Lauberhorn(2)

11Afterberna(3)

Leaders3

pushing for the lead

1Prince Tycoon(4)

13Chains Of Love(5)

4La Astro Chat(13)

Historical overview

Across the 29 sampled runnings of 1200m at Flemington: Midfield (settle 7–10) — 11 of 29 winners (37.9% of winners, 11.3% strike, 1.34 A/E). From the gates, Wide (10+) — 10 of 29 winners (34.5% of winners, 9.7% strike, 0.98 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1200m · True, 8 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 4 of 8 winners (50.0% of winners, 16.7% strike, 0.71 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 4 (25.0% strike, 0.42 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 34.5% of winners.

Historical leans

Midfield (settle 7–10) is the strongest settle band on the sample
Wide (10+) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance

1200m · 29 races (29 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	112	9	31%	8%	0.92
Middle (5–9)	128	10	34.5%	7.8%	0.70
Wide (10+)	103	10	34.5%	9.7%	0.98

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	84	7	24.1%	8.3%	0.60
On-pace (4–6)	84	7	24.1%	8.3%	0.80
Midfield (7–10)	97	11	37.9%	11.3%	1.34
Backmarkers (11+)	62	3	10.3%	4.8%	0.68
Unknown	16	1	3.4%	6.2%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	4	1	3.4%	25%	0.42
Pop ($2–5)	52	13	44.8%	25%	0.90
Mid ($5–10)	55	5	17.2%	9.1%	0.69
Roughie (>$10)	231	10	34.5%	4.3%	0.99