Flemington R4

13:40Sharp EIT Mahogany Challenge Final

2500mOpenRail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9Track

Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final

Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.4top 3

Ranked 1st

1. Decalogue

Craig Williams (17)

Ranked 2nd

14. Kings Reflection

Harry Coffey (4)

Ranked 3rd

13. Sunsprite

Jett Stanley (5)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers3

settle 11+

5Brillantezza(2)

14Kings Reflection(4)

20Baudin(8)

Midfield10

settle 7–10

7Iron Legacy(3)

13Sunsprite(5)

18King's Anchor(6)

9Nihancan(7)

4Adira River(9)

16Pressurised(10)

15Camelot Time(14)

11Think Your Amazing(15)

10Simply Gold(18)

17Sadlers Symphony(19)

On-pace4

settle 3–6

6Colizzi(11)

3Rainsun(12)

19Convaaya(16)

1Decalogue(17)

Leaders2

pushing for the lead

12Thunderbolt Way(1)

8Lillard(13)

Historical overview

Across the 9 sampled runnings of 2500m at Flemington: Midfield (settle 7–10) — 3 of 9 winners (33.3% of winners, 9.4% strike, 1.16 A/E). From the gates, Wide (10+) — 4 of 9 winners (44.4% of winners, 12.5% strike, 1.45 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 0 from 1 (0.0% strike, 0.0 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 33.3% of winners.

Historical leans

Midfield (settle 7–10) is the strongest settle band on the sample
Wide (10+) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance

2500m · 9 races (9 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	34	3	33.3%	8.8%	0.71
Middle (5–9)	43	2	22.2%	4.7%	0.53
Wide (10+)	32	4	44.4%	12.5%	1.45

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	27	1	11.1%	3.7%	0.30
On-pace (4–6)	27	3	33.3%	11.1%	0.88
Midfield (7–10)	32	3	33.3%	9.4%	1.16
Backmarkers (11+)	23	2	22.2%	8.7%	1.43

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	1	0	0%	0%	0.00
Pop ($2–5)	18	5	55.6%	27.8%	1.04
Mid ($5–10)	18	1	11.1%	5.6%	0.41
Roughie (>$10)	72	3	33.3%	4.2%	1.02