Flemington R7

15:30VRC-CRV Winter Championship Series Final

1600mListedRail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9Track

Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final

Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.15top 3

Ranked 1st

3. Al Duca

Craig Williams (2)

Ranked 2nd

6. Seafall

Jackson Radley (9)

Ranked 3rd

1. Jimmy The Bear

Billy Egan (1)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers2

settle 11+

8Electric Impulse(8)

9Fine Future(13)

Midfield5

settle 7–10

1Jimmy The Bear(1)

4Detonator Jack(3)

13Boltsaver(6)

6Seafall(9)

12Ocean Beyond(12)

On-pace3

settle 3–6

3Al Duca(2)

5Freedom Rally(7)

7Smokin' Princess(11)

Leaders3

pushing for the lead

2Just Folk(4)

10Highlights(5)

11See That Storm(10)

Historical overview

Across the 36 sampled runnings of 1600m at Flemington: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 14 of 36 winners (37.8% of winners, 13.0% strike, 0.79 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 22 of 36 winners (59.5% of winners, 13.8% strike, 1.25 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 6 (33.3% strike, 0.6 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 10.8% of winners.

Historical leans

Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance

1600m · 36 races (37 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	142	11	29.7%	7.7%	0.62
Middle (5–9)	160	22	59.5%	13.8%	1.25
Wide (10+)	73	4	10.8%	5.5%	0.52

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	108	14	37.8%	13%	0.79
On-pace (4–6)	108	10	27%	9.3%	0.96
Midfield (7–10)	121	10	27%	8.3%	0.85
Backmarkers (11+)	38	3	8.1%	7.9%	0.97

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	6	2	5.4%	33.3%	0.60
Pop ($2–5)	73	19	51.4%	26%	0.99
Mid ($5–10)	80	12	32.4%	15%	1.07
Roughie (>$10)	216	4	10.8%	1.9%	0.43