Pakenham Synthetic

—Rail: True Entire Circuit—12:35–17:20

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Pakenham Synthetic in VIC hosts a provincial meeting on —. The rail is True Entire Circuit. There are 9 races scheduled from 12:35 to 17:20.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,600m across the card. The class mix is 4 maidens and 5 benchmark races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Cameron Industrial Commercial (Bm56).

What history says

Over 107 races from 2025-06-02 to 2026-06-29, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.51 A/E, 2.9% strike rate).

Trainer Ben, Will & Jd Hayes has 11 runners and a 18.8% local strike rate from 64 runs (1.08 A/E) and Trainer Reece Goodwin has 5 runners and a 20.0% local strike rate from 50 runs (1.27 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Pakenham Synthetic

107 races · 1108 runners · since 2025-06-02

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JTeodore Nugent6 todayA/E 3.22TG Eurell2 todayA/E 2.21JJamie Mott9 todayA/E 1.45JPatrick Moloney6 todayA/E 1.42JBailey Kinninmont3 todayA/E 1.33TReece Goodwin5 todayA/E 1.27JBilly Egan7 todayA/E 1.18TSimon Zahra4 todayA/E 1.17TCharlotte Littlefield2 todayA/E 1.16TBen, Will & Jd Hayes11 todayA/E 1.08JJye McNeil7 todayA/E 1.06TJ F Moloney2 todayA/E 1.05

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	373	31	29%	8.3%	0.66
Middle (5–9)	456	54	50.5%	11.8%	1.00
Wide (10+)	279	22	20.6%	7.9%	0.77

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	225	29	27.1%	12.9%	0.85
On-pace (4–6)	223	24	22.4%	10.8%	0.84
Midfield (7–10)	264	20	18.7%	7.6%	0.81
Backmarkers (11+)	69	2	1.9%	2.9%	0.51
Unknown	327	32	29.9%	9.8%	0.83

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	20	8	7.5%	40%	0.68
Pop ($2–5)	206	47	43.9%	22.8%	0.81
Mid ($5–10)	247	34	31.8%	13.8%	1.01
Roughie (>$10)	635	18	16.8%	2.8%	0.69

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.