Hygain Edge Mdn Plate — a 1400m maiden at Pakenham Synthetic, jumping at 13:45 on — ground, rail true. 16 runners engaged.
At the trip
Pakenham Synthetic has staged 29 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 14 of 29 (48.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 7–10 win the most races here — 7 of 29 each (24.1% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 22).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 11 of 29 (37.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 88 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 28 runnings — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.01 (14 from 125).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 7–10 again on top: A/E 0.96 (7 from 72).
- Market: read holds — Roughie (>$10) again on top: A/E 1.18 (7 from 162).
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Billy Egan × Patrick Payne are 16 from 65 (24.6%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #1 Brazen Warrior here.
- Trainer T & C McEvoy: 26 from 147 (17.7%) in the last 90 days (11 of those in the last 30) — saddles #12 Insolence here.
- Trainer G M Begg: 18 from 111 (16.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #18 Poetic Way here.
- Jockey Teodore Nugent is 4 from 20 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 3.22) and has #13 Camegitchee here.
- Jockey Jamie Mott is 9 from 32 at today’s meeting profile (28.1% strike, A/E 1.45) and has #5 Bellabama here.