Pakenham Synthetic R8

16:50Bunyip Equipment (Bm56)
1000mBenchmark 56Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Bunyip Equipment (Bm56)a 1000m benchmark 56 at Pakenham Synthetic, jumping at 16:50 on ground, rail true. 18 runners engaged.

At the trip

Pakenham Synthetic has staged 10 races at 1000m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 7 of 10 (70.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.20).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 7 of 10 (70.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.28).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 7 of 10 (70.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 54).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 9 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.25 (7 from 38).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.26 (6 from 24).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.24 (7 from 18).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Billy Egan: 39 from 215 (18.1%) in the last 90 days (16 of those in the last 30) — rides #13 Octrain here.
  • Trainer Andrea Leek: 6 from 27 (22.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #3 Ruby Avenue here.
  • Jockey Teodore Nugent is 4 from 20 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 3.22) and has #4 Stormbourg here.
  • Jockey Jamie Mott is 9 from 32 at today’s meeting profile (28.1% strike, A/E 1.45) and has #10 Smash Blue here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 10 races (10 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)38330%7.9%0.59
Middle (5–9)40770%17.5%1.20
Wide (10+)1500%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)27770%25.9%1.28
On-pace (4–6)27110%3.7%0.35
Midfield (7–10)23110%4.3%0.42
Backmarkers (11+)500%0%0.00
Unknown11110%9.1%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)2110%50%0.82
Pop ($2–5)21770%33.3%1.07
Mid ($5–10)16220%12.5%0.92
Roughie (>$10)5400%0%0.00