Shanks Electrical Mdn Plate — a 1600m maiden at Pakenham Synthetic, jumping at 14:20 on — ground, rail true. 17 runners engaged.
At the trip
Pakenham Synthetic has staged 25 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 13 of 25 (52.0% win share); Inside (1–4) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.58 (6 from 85).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 7 of 25 (28.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 12 of 25 (48.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.29).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 83 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 23 runnings — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.03 (12 from 96).
- Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 11+ — A/E 1.52 (1 from 8); overall it's Settle position 1–3.
- Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.35 (12 from 64).
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Thomas Stockdale × M Price & M Kent Jnr are 5 from 26 (19.2%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #13 Shellfire here.
- Trainer Patrick Payne: 36 from 189 (19.0%) in the last 90 days (18 of those in the last 30) — saddles #17 Achy Breaky Heart here.
- Trainer Mitchell Freedman: 6 from 35 (17.1%) in the last 30 days — saddles #6 Just Swift here.
- Jockey Jamie Mott is 9 from 32 at today’s meeting profile (28.1% strike, A/E 1.45) and has #11 Frankel's Word here.
- Jockey Patrick Moloney is 4 from 31 at today’s meeting profile (12.9% strike, A/E 1.42) and has #12 Choice Encounter here.