Duffy And Simon Lawyers (Bm56) — a 1400m benchmark 56 at Pakenham Synthetic, jumping at 17:20 on — ground, rail true. 18 runners engaged.
At the trip
Pakenham Synthetic has staged 29 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 14 of 29 (48.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 7–10 win the most races here — 7 of 29 each (24.1% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 22).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 11 of 29 (37.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 88 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 28 runnings — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.01 (14 from 125).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 7–10 again on top: A/E 0.96 (7 from 72).
- Market: read holds — Roughie (>$10) again on top: A/E 1.18 (7 from 162).
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Billy Egan × Patrick Payne are 16 from 65 (24.6%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #11 Phoebe Buffay here.
- Trainer Jerome Hunter: 7 from 39 (17.9%) in the last 90 days — saddles #10 Lotta City here.
- Trainer Reece Goodwin: 14 from 92 (15.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Titan Of Choice here.
- Jockey Teodore Nugent is 4 from 20 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 3.22) and has #6 Mr Crafty here.
- Jockey Jamie Mott is 9 from 32 at today’s meeting profile (28.1% strike, A/E 1.45) and has #10 Lotta City here.