Ballarat Synthetic R6

16:05Sportsbet Get On Extra (Bm56)
1200mBenchmark 56Rail: True
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Sportsbet Get On Extra (Bm56)a 1200m benchmark 56 at Ballarat Synthetic, jumping at 16:05 on ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Ballarat Synthetic has staged 51 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) and Middle (5–9) win the most races here — 23 of 51 each (45.1% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.52 (5 from 82).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 23 of 51 (45.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 17 of 51 (33.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 51 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 0.94 (23 from 199).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 0.95 (16 from 131).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 0.93 (13 from 104).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey John Allen: 13 from 74 (17.6%) in the last 30 days — rides #5 Doc's Nipper here.
  • Jockey Brad Rawiller: 27 from 177 (15.3%) in the last 90 days — rides #1 Aka Daka here.
  • Trainer Tom Dabernig: 10 from 60 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — saddles #2 Secret Hell here.
  • Trainer Rodney Foster is 2 from 24 at today’s meeting profile (8.3% strike, A/E 1.29) and has #6 Flux here.
  • Jockey Cian Macredmond is 10 from 101 at today’s meeting profile (9.9% strike, A/E 1.24) and has #11 Mr Charismatic here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 51 races (51 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1812345.1%12.7%0.85
Middle (5–9)1992345.1%11.6%0.94
Wide (10+)8259.8%6.1%0.52

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1472345.1%15.6%0.87
On-pace (4–6)1311631.4%12.2%0.95
Midfield (7–10)110713.7%6.4%0.66
Backmarkers (11+)1900%0%0.00
Unknown5559.8%9.1%0.79

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)241223.5%50%0.78
Pop ($2–5)761733.3%22.4%0.79
Mid ($5–10)1041325.5%12.5%0.93
Roughie (>$10)258917.6%3.5%0.87