Global Turf Mdn Plate — a 2100m maiden at Ballarat Synthetic, jumping at 13:45 on — ground, rail true. 16 runners engaged.
At the trip
Ballarat Synthetic has staged 19 races at 2100m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 9 of 19 (47.4% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.20 (4 from 31).
- Pace: Settle position 4–6 and Settle position 7–10 win the most races here — 6 of 19 each (31.6% win share); the value band has been Settle position 7–10 — A/E 1.25 (6 from 46).
- Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 7 of 19 (36.8% win share); Pop ($2–5) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.57 (6 from 37).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 30 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 19 runnings — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.20 (4 from 31).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 7–10 again on top: A/E 1.25 (6 from 46).
- Market: edge tilts to Odds-on (≤$2) — A/E 1.29 (3 from 4); overall it's Mid ($5–10).
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, John Allen × C Maher are 7 from 35 (20.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #1 Barossa Valley here.
- Trainer G M Begg: 17 from 111 (15.3%) in the last 90 days — saddles #12 Representative here.
- Jockey Fred W Kersley is 3 from 14 at today’s meeting profile (21.4% strike, A/E 1.36) and has #11 Miss Tempestas here.
- Jockey Cian Macredmond is 10 from 101 at today’s meeting profile (9.9% strike, A/E 1.24) and has #4 Gaelic Kiwi here.