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← MuswellbrookTuesday 7 July 2026

Muswellbrook R2

13:00Horsepower Country Boosted Mdn Plate
1280mMaidenRail: 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies
StatisticsRace Analysis
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Horsepower Country Boosted Mdn Plate — a 1280m maiden at Muswellbrook, jumping at 13:00 on — ground, rail 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Muswellbrook has staged 49 races at 1280m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 23 of 49 (46.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 18 of 49 (36.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 25 of 49 (51.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Aaron Bullock × P Messara & L Gavranich are 9 from 25 (36.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #7 Valedor here.
  • Jockey Mikayla Weir: 14 from 83 (16.9%) in the last 30 days — rides #8 Churpel here.
  • Trainer M R Mulholland: 9 from 57 (15.8%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Black Dynasty here.
  • Trainer Brett & Georgie Cavanough: 24 from 154 (15.6%) in the last 90 days — saddles #3 Magic Merlin here.
  • Trainer Carlos Antonio is 3 from 24 at today’s meeting profile (12.5% strike, A/E 1.89) and has #9 Sparkle Socks here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1280m · 49 races (49 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1842346.9%12.5%0.88
Middle (5–9)2101938.8%9%0.72
Wide (10+)76714.3%9.2%0.97

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1321530.6%11.4%0.79
On-pace (4–6)1311836.7%13.7%0.83
Midfield (7–10)1261020.4%7.9%0.89
Backmarkers (11+)3112%3.2%0.67
Unknown50510.2%10%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)16918.4%56.2%0.93
Pop ($2–5)862551%29.1%0.93
Mid ($5–10)88816.3%9.1%0.67
Roughie (>$10)280714.3%2.5%0.64