Muswellbrook R6

15:20TAB Plate (C1)
1750mClass 1Rail: 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

TAB Plate (C1)a 1750m class 1 at Muswellbrook, jumping at 15:20 on ground, rail 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Muswellbrook has staged 8 races at 1750m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) and Middle (5–9) win the most races here — 4 of 8 each (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 4 of 8 (50.0% win share); Settle position 1–3 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.45 (1 from 21).
  • Market: Mid ($5–10) and Roughie (>$10) win the most races here — 1 of 8 each (12.5% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.36 (1 from 22).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 12 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Aaron Bullock: 29 from 149 (19.5%) in the last 90 days (11 of those in the last 30) — rides #5 Dark Justice here.
  • Jockey Mikayla Weir: 14 from 83 (16.9%) in the last 30 days — rides #7 Exorbitant Miss here.
  • Trainer Joel Wilkes: 5 from 25 (20.0%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Bridego here.
  • Trainer M R Mulholland: 9 from 57 (15.8%) in the last 90 days — saddles #3 Boncapo here.
  • Trainer Carlos Antonio is 3 from 24 at today’s meeting profile (12.5% strike, A/E 1.89) and has #11 Rock'n On Uptown here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1750m · 8 races (8 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)32450%12.5%0.87
Middle (5–9)29450%13.8%0.89
Wide (10+)800%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)21112.5%4.8%0.45
On-pace (4–6)21450%19%0.93
Midfield (7–10)14225%14.3%1.01
Backmarkers (11+)100%0%0.00
Unknown12112.5%8.3%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)5450%80%1.20
Pop ($2–5)8225%25%0.97
Mid ($5–10)22112.5%4.5%0.36
Roughie (>$10)34112.5%2.9%0.63