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← MuswellbrookTuesday 7 July 2026

Muswellbrook R8

16:35Bengalla Cup Sun 26 July (Bm66)
1280mBenchmark 66Rail: 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies
StatisticsRace Analysis
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Bengalla Cup Sun 26 July (Bm66) — a 1280m benchmark 66 at Muswellbrook, jumping at 16:35 on — ground, rail 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Muswellbrook has staged 49 races at 1280m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 23 of 49 (46.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 18 of 49 (36.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 25 of 49 (51.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Aaron Bullock: 29 from 149 (19.5%) in the last 90 days (11 of those in the last 30) — rides #1 Condone here.
  • Trainer M R Mulholland: 9 from 57 (15.8%) in the last 90 days — saddles #7 Turbulent here.
  • Trainer M D Griffith: 10 from 61 (16.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Condone here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1280m · 49 races (49 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1842346.9%12.5%0.88
Middle (5–9)2101938.8%9%0.72
Wide (10+)76714.3%9.2%0.97

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1321530.6%11.4%0.79
On-pace (4–6)1311836.7%13.7%0.83
Midfield (7–10)1261020.4%7.9%0.89
Backmarkers (11+)3112%3.2%0.67
Unknown50510.2%10%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)16918.4%56.2%0.93
Pop ($2–5)862551%29.1%0.93
Mid ($5–10)88816.3%9.1%0.67
Roughie (>$10)280714.3%2.5%0.64