Muswellbrook R3

13:35Membership Open Now Mdn Plate
1000mMaidenRail: 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Membership Open Now Mdn Platea 1000m maiden at Muswellbrook, jumping at 13:35 on ground, rail 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Muswellbrook has staged 45 races at 1000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 20 of 45 (44.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 18 of 45 (40.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 24 of 45 (53.3% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.22 (2 from 227).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 78 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Jean Van Overmeire × Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter are 5 from 18 (27.8%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #2 Bumbling Artie here.
  • Jockey Aaron Bullock: 29 from 149 (19.5%) in the last 90 days (11 of those in the last 30) — rides #3 Nielsen Park here.
  • Jockey Izzy Neale: 7 from 46 (15.2%) in the last 30 days — rides #4 Rutley Exceeds here.
  • Trainer Joel Wilkes: 5 from 25 (20.0%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Bicknoller here.
  • Trainer M R Mulholland: 9 from 57 (15.8%) in the last 90 days — saddles #6 Sellicks Beach here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 45 races (45 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1711840%10.5%0.83
Middle (5–9)1832044.4%10.9%0.76
Wide (10+)54715.6%13%1.13

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1141840%15.8%0.87
On-pace (4–6)1091226.7%11%0.76
Midfield (7–10)95715.6%7.4%0.86
Backmarkers (11+)1212.2%8.3%0.96
Unknown78715.6%9%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)181124.4%61.1%1.02
Pop ($2–5)842453.3%28.6%1.00
Mid ($5–10)79817.8%10.1%0.76
Roughie (>$10)22724.4%0.9%0.22