HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← MuswellbrookTuesday 7 July 2026

Muswellbrook R7

15:55TAB Country Boosted (Bm58)
1000mBenchmark 58Rail: 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies
StatisticsRace Analysis
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

TAB Country Boosted (Bm58) — a 1000m benchmark 58 at Muswellbrook, jumping at 15:55 on — ground, rail 5m from 1200m to 300m where cutaway applies. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Muswellbrook has staged 45 races at 1000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 20 of 45 (44.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 18 of 45 (40.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 24 of 45 (53.3% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.22 (2 from 227).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 78 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Aaron Bullock: 29 from 149 (19.5%) in the last 90 days (11 of those in the last 30) — rides #1 Supido Star here.
  • Jockey Nick Palmer: 7 from 46 (15.2%) in the last 30 days — rides #7 Spring Prospect here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 45 races (45 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1711840%10.5%0.83
Middle (5–9)1832044.4%10.9%0.76
Wide (10+)54715.6%13%1.13

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1141840%15.8%0.87
On-pace (4–6)1091226.7%11%0.76
Midfield (7–10)95715.6%7.4%0.86
Backmarkers (11+)1212.2%8.3%0.96
Unknown78715.6%9%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)181124.4%61.1%1.02
Pop ($2–5)842453.3%28.6%1.00
Mid ($5–10)79817.8%10.1%0.76
Roughie (>$10)22724.4%0.9%0.22