HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Wednesday 8 July 2026QLD

Ipswich

TurfRail: +8m Entire—12:29–16:38

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Ipswich in QLD hosts a provincial meeting on Turf. The rail is +8m Entire. There are 8 races scheduled from 12:29 to 16:38.

The card

Distances run from 800m to 2,000m across the card. The class mix is 2 maidens, 2 benchmark races, and 4 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Living Turf Hcp.

What history says

Over 412 races from 2025-04-30 to 2026-07-03, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.52 A/E, 3.1% strike rate).

Jockey Brandon Lerena has 5 runners and a 15.0% local strike rate from 107 runs (1.16 A/E) and Trainer Chris & Corey Munce has 4 runners and a 20.0% local strike rate from 135 runs (1.02 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Ipswich

412 races · 3915 runners · since 2025-04-30

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TG Heinrich & B Rodgers2 todayA/E 1.88TJesse Townsend2 todayA/E 1.83JAshley Butler5 todayA/E 1.34TRochelle Pereira2 todayA/E 1.33TK R Kemp4 todayA/E 1.27JBrandon Lerena5 todayA/E 1.16TMichael Nolan2 todayA/E 1.09JJai Williams3 todayA/E 1.08TMatthew Hoysted2 todayA/E 1.06JCourtney Bellamy2 todayA/E 1.04TM J Dunn2 todayA/E 1.03TChris & Corey Munce4 todayA/E 1.02

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)155417342%11.1%0.76
Middle (5–9)172117843.2%10.3%0.86
Wide (10+)6406114.8%9.5%0.98

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)108717442.2%16%0.97
On-pace (4–6)107211126.9%10.4%0.74
Midfield (7–10)10487017%6.7%0.74
Backmarkers (11+)22571.7%3.1%0.52
Unknown4835012.1%10.4%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)73379%50.7%0.85
Pop ($2–5)83720349.3%24.3%0.84
Mid ($5–10)8859823.8%11.1%0.81
Roughie (>$10)21207418%3.5%0.80

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.