Schweppes Hcp — a 1200m open at Ipswich, jumping at 15:24 on — ground, rail +8m. 9 runners engaged.
At the trip
Ipswich has staged 71 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 35 of 71 (49.3% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.59 (7 from 111).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 31 of 71 (43.7% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 27).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 42 of 71 (59.2% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.58 (12 from 152).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 121 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers 15 runnings — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: edge tilts to Inside (1–4) — A/E 0.89 (9 from 57); overall it's Middle (5–9).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.19 (8 from 36).
- Market: edge tilts to Roughie (>$10) — A/E 0.98 (3 from 67); overall it's Pop ($2–5).
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Ben E Thompson × Jack Bruce are 10 from 32 (31.2%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #6 Moshulu Spirit here.
- Jockey Ashley Butler is 2 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (11.1% strike, A/E 1.34) and has #5 Satisfied Mugs here.