TAB Plate (C1) — a 1700m class 1 at Ipswich, jumping at 14:49 on — ground, rail +8m. 12 runners engaged.
At the trip
Ipswich has staged 56 races at 1700m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 27 of 56 (48.2% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 19 of 56 (33.9% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (1 from 35).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 23 of 56 (41.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers 19 runnings — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.47 (3 from 24).
- Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 11+ — A/E 2.45 (1 from 11); overall it's Settle position 7–10.
- Market: edge tilts to Pop ($2–5) — A/E 1.15 (14 from 43); overall it's Mid ($5–10).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Jag Guthmann-Chester: 6 from 36 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #9 Difronzo here.
- Jockey Ryan Maloney: 9 from 56 (16.1%) in the last 30 days — rides #2 Kundabung here.
- Trainer K M Schweida: 7 from 41 (17.1%) in the last 30 days — saddles #13 Port River Billie here.
- Trainer C J Waller: 34 from 208 (16.3%) in the last 30 days — saddles #2 Kundabung, #8 Barcelo, #11 Riez Souvent here.
- Jockey Ashley Butler is 2 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (11.1% strike, A/E 1.34) and has #13 Port River Billie here.