Ipswich R8

16:38Tempus Two Plate (C4)
1350mClass 4Rail: +8m
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Tempus Two Plate (C4)a 1350m class 4 at Ipswich, jumping at 16:38 on ground, rail +8m. 15 runners engaged.

At the trip

Ipswich has staged 101 races at 1350m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 42 of 101 (41.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 4–6 win the most races here — 33 of 101 each (32.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 43 of 101 (42.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers 15 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Middle (5–9) — A/E 0.85 (8 from 58); overall it's Wide (10+).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 4–6 — A/E 1.04 (7 from 45); overall it's Settle position 11+.
  • Market: edge tilts to Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.18 (3 from 57); overall it's Mid ($5–10).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Ben E Thompson × Jack Bruce are 10 from 32 (31.2%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #12 Chica Mojito here.
  • Jockey Ryan Maloney: 9 from 56 (16.1%) in the last 30 days — rides #8 Ikasara here.
  • Trainer Michael Freedman: 25 from 146 (17.1%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — saddles #1 Gorbachev here.
  • Trainer C J Waller: 34 from 208 (16.3%) in the last 30 days — saddles #10 Canpikapony here.
  • Trainer K R Kemp is 6 from 53 at today’s meeting profile (11.3% strike, A/E 1.27) and has #14 Rubaahy here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1350m · 101 races (101 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)3773938.6%10.3%0.75
Middle (5–9)4314241.6%9.7%0.82
Wide (10+)2032019.8%9.9%1.04

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)2773332.7%11.9%0.80
On-pace (4–6)2763332.7%12%0.85
Midfield (7–10)2922120.8%7.2%0.79
Backmarkers (11+)8955%5.6%0.88
Unknown7798.9%11.7%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)1687.9%50%0.82
Pop ($2–5)2014342.6%21.4%0.74
Mid ($5–10)2273029.7%13.2%0.98
Roughie (>$10)5672019.8%3.5%0.84

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.